Montenegro1 - 4Czech Republic
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, June 17 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Serbia | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Hungary | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Montenegro | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 5 | Bulgaria | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Saturday, June 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Czech Republic | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Albania | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Poland | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Moldova | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 2 | -3 | 1 |
We said: Montenegro 1-2 Czech Republic
While Montenegro will head into Tuesday in search of a morale-boosting result, they face a spirited Czech Republic side who have lost just one of their last six friendlies. We are backing Silhavy's men to pick up where they dropped off on Saturday and come out on top at the Podgorica City Stadium. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 42.76%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Montenegro had a probability of 27.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.7%) and 1-2 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Montenegro win it was 1-0 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Czech Republic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montenegro | Draw | Czech Republic |
27.98% ( -15.98) | 29.26% ( 6.8) | 42.76% ( 9.18) |
| Both teams to score 42.26% ( -24.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.91% ( -30.17) | 64.09% ( 30.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.75% ( -27.47) | 83.25% ( 27.46) |
| Montenegro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.18% ( -23.73) | 39.82% ( 23.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.51% ( -30.99) | 76.49% ( 30.98) |
| Czech Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.23% ( -9.09) | 29.77% ( 9.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.16% ( -12.57) | 65.84% ( 12.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montenegro | Draw | Czech Republic |
| 1-0 @ 10.91% ( 4.83) 2-1 @ 6.09% ( -2.66)2-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.53)3-1 @ 1.87% ( -3.46)3-0 @ 1.54% ( -1.84)3-2 @ 1.13% ( -3.07)Other @ 1.41% Total : 27.97% | 1-1 @ 13.22% ( 3.64) 0-0 @ 11.85% ( 8.52)2-2 @ 3.69% ( -3.21)Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.25% | 0-1 @ 14.36% ( 9.11) 0-2 @ 8.7% ( 4.57)1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.46)0-3 @ 3.52% ( 1.34)1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.73)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -2.13)0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.21)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.58)Other @ 1.39% Total : 42.76% |
