Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Puskas Arena

Hungary
2 - 1
Serbia

Varga (20'), Sallai (34')
Varga (77'), Botka (90+3'), Kalmar (90+3')
Kalmar (90+7')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Pavlovic (33')
Milenkovic (76'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+7')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Hungary and Serbia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hungary

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Hungary 1-1 Czech Republic
Sunday, September 10 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Hungary	4	6	10
2	Serbia	5	5	10
3	Montenegro	5	0	8
4	Bulgaria	5	-5	2
5	Lithuania	5	-6	2

Serbia

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Lithuania 1-3 Serbia
Sunday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Hungary	4	6	10
2	Serbia	5	5	10
3	Montenegro	5	0	8
4	Bulgaria	5	-5	2
5	Lithuania	5	-6	2

Both teams are full of attacking talent, which makes the game an exciting encounter. Serbia look more vulnerable defensively, as the games against Bulgaria and Lithuania showed. Therefore, it is hard to imagine that Stojkovic's eleven will be able to keep such a highly talented team as Hungary at bay for the entire 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 36.61%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.4%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Serbia win was 0-1 (12.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hungary in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Hungary.

Result
Hungary	Draw	Serbia
36.61% ( 0.23)	29.57% ( 0.09)	33.82% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 43.24% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.24% (

-0.29)

63.76% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.99% (

-0.2)

83.02% (

0.21)

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.7% (

-0.01)

33.3% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.08% (

-0.01)

69.92% (

0.01)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.83% (

-0.37)

35.17% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.08% (

-0.39)

71.93% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Hungary 36.6%

Serbia 33.82%

Draw 29.56%

Hungary	Draw	Serbia
1-0 @ 12.87% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.4% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.71% 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.6%	1-1 @ 13.45% 0-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.56%	0-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.14% Total : 33.82%