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Estonia national football team
Friendlies 2
Oct 7, 2020 at 5pm UK
A. Le Coq Arena
Lithuania national football team

Estonia
1 - 3
Lithuania

Marin (59')
Anders Lepik (51'), Marin (72')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Novikovas (14', 46'), Sirgedas (32')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 2 clash between Estonia and Lithuania.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estonia win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
EstoniaDrawLithuania
38.91%27.42%33.67%
Both teams to score 49.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.79%56.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.74%77.26%
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.89%28.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.22%63.79%
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.66%31.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.3%67.71%
Score Analysis
    Estonia 38.91%
    Lithuania 33.67%
    Draw 27.41%
EstoniaDrawLithuania
1-0 @ 11.18%
2-1 @ 8.23%
2-0 @ 7.09%
3-1 @ 3.48%
3-0 @ 3%
3-2 @ 2.02%
4-1 @ 1.1%
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 38.91%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 8.81%
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 10.22%
1-2 @ 7.53%
0-2 @ 5.93%
1-3 @ 2.91%
0-3 @ 2.29%
2-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 33.67%

Head to Head
Mar 31, 2020 5pm
Sep 5, 2015 5pm
Qualifiers
Estonia
1-0
Lithuania
Vassiljev (71')
Purje (79'), Dmitrijev (87')

Matulevicius (30'), Zaliukas (65'), Cesnauskis (69')
Oct 9, 2014 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Lithuania
1-0
Estonia

Zenjov (33'), Kallaste (64')
Kallaste (86')
rhs 2.0
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