Lithuania

0 - 2

Kazakhstan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 48.35%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 1-0 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kazakhstan would win this match.