Latvia boast an impressive record over Saturday's visitors in recent years, and while they certainly face a tough test with a place in the Baltic Cup on the line, we see them having the superior quality throughout their squad and back them to extend the unbeaten streak over Lithuania and move within one game of bringing the trophy back to Riga. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Latvia had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Latvia win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lithuania would win this match.

Result
Latvia	Draw	Lithuania
28.68% ( -4.82)	25.81% ( -0.48)	45.5% ( 5.3)

Both teams to score 52.27% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.45% (

0.21)

51.55% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.66% (

0.19)

73.34% (

-0.19)

Latvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.54% (

-3.23)

32.46% (

3.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.02% (

-3.81)

68.98% (

3.81)

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.39% (

2.72)

22.61% (

-2.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.77% (

3.89)

56.23% (

-3.89)

Score Analysis

Latvia 28.68%

Lithuania 45.5%

Draw 25.81%

Latvia	Draw	Lithuania
1-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.85) 2-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.78) 2-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.96) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.56) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.56) Other @ 2.62% Total : 28.68%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.75) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.54) 0-2 @ 8.11% ( 1.13) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( 0.59) 0-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.83) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.33) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.4) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.14% Total : 45.5%