Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 12, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadions Skonto

Latvia
2 - 0
Armenia

Ikaunieks (39'), Balodis (68')
Oss (31'), Emsis (65')
Oss (52')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Haroyan (31')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Latvia and Armenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Latvia

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Latvia 0-2 Wales
Monday, September 11 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Croatia	4	8	10
2	Turkey	5	2	10
3	Armenia	5	1	7
4	Wales	5	-1	7
5	Latvia	5	-10	0

Armenia

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Armenia 0-1 Croatia
Monday, September 11 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Croatia	4	8	10
2	Turkey	5	2	10
3	Armenia	5	1	7
4	Wales	5	-1	7
5	Latvia	5	-10	0

No goals in September's qualifiers - and no points overall - Latvia's woes show just how difficult Thursday's clash at Skonto Stadions could be for the home team. As Armenia also arrive in Riga motivated by the chance of a top-two finish in Group D, the visitors should depart with maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 46%. A win for Armenia had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Armenia win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Latvia would win this match.

Result
Latvia	Draw	Armenia
46% ( -0.01)	24.8% ( 0.01)	29.2% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.87% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.01% (

-0.02)

46.99% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.76% (

-0.02)

69.23% (

0.02)

Latvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.51% (

-0.01)

20.49% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.03% (

-0.02)

52.97% (

0.02)

Armenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.27%

29.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.2% (

-0)

65.79% (

Score Analysis

Latvia 46%

Armenia 29.2%

Draw 24.79%

Latvia	Draw	Armenia
1-0 @ 9.66% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.05% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 46%	1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.79%	0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) Other @ 3.27% Total : 29.2%