Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 19, 2023 at 5pm UK

Armenia Football Academy grass

Armenia
2 - 1
Latvia

Tiknizyan (35'), Barseghyan (90+1' pen.)
Haroyan (10')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mkrtchyan (67' og.)
Saveljevs (18'), Jaunzems (51'), Uldrikis (81'), Tobers (89')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Armenia and Latvia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Armenia

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Wales 2-4 Armenia
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	3	0	6
2	Croatia	2	2	4
3	Wales	3	-1	4
4	Armenia	2	1	3
5	Latvia	2	-2	0

Latvia

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Latvia 2-3 Turkey
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	3	0	6
2	Croatia	2	2	4
3	Wales	3	-1	4
4	Armenia	2	1	3
5	Latvia	2	-2	0

We said: Armenia 2-1 Latvia

Latvia have lost both fixtures by one goal, and they could suffer a third loss on Monday, with Armenia anticipated to consolidate Friday's triumph by securing another success in Yerevan. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Armenia win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Latvia had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Armenia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Latvia win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Armenia in this match.

Result
Armenia	Draw	Latvia
43.93% ( 25.35)	21.71% ( -0.62)	34.36% ( -24.73)

Both teams to score 69.78% (

18.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.16% (

17.06)

29.83% (

-17.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.01% (

18.15)

50.99% (

-18.16)

Armenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.5% (

24.62)

14.5% (

-24.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.5% (

33.34)

42.49% (

-33.35)

Latvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.61% (

-2.87)

18.38% (

2.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.48% (

-5.1)

49.52% (

5.1)

Score Analysis

Armenia 43.93%

Latvia 34.36%

Draw 21.71%

Armenia	Draw	Latvia
2-1 @ 8.42% ( 3.44) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( 3.86) 1-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.55) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( 2.3) 3-2 @ 4.59% ( 3.14) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 2.36) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 2.25) 4-2 @ 2.22% ( 1.88) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 1.35) 4-3 @ 1.25% ( 1.04) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.94) Other @ 3.55% Total : 43.93%	1-1 @ 8.72% ( -1.89) 2-2 @ 7.13% ( 2.49) 0-0 @ 2.66% ( -3.41) 3-3 @ 2.59% ( 1.69) Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.71%	1-2 @ 7.38% ( -2.51) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( -6.8) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( -1.98) 2-3 @ 4.03% ( 1.14) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( -6.71) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -4.39) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( -1.1) 2-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.36) 3-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.68) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -2.14) Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.36%