International Friendly

Nov 16, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri

Kosovo
2 - 2
Armenia

Kastrati (67' pen.), Rrudhani (90+3')
Veliu (16'), Kastrati (37'), Sadriu (43'), Abedini (48'), Dellova (69')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Shaghoyan (24'), Hovhannisyan (82')
Hakobyan (54'), Harutyunyan (66'), Dashyan (84')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's International Friendlies clash between Kosovo and Armenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kosovo

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Kosovo 5-1 Cyprus
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Northern Ireland	0	0	0
2	Greece	0	0	0
3	Cyprus	0	0	0
4	Kosovo	0	0	0

Armenia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Rep. Ireland 3-2 Armenia
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Ukraine	0	0	0
4	Armenia	0	0	0

Neither side have named a fully-strength squad by any means, so there are likely to be plenty of nerves on display, especially from the inexperienced players. As such, we would not be surprised to see both sides settle for a draw should the match be heading that way, especially with little riding on the game beyond pride. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 50.57%. A win for Armenia had a probability of 24.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Armenia win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Kosovo	Draw	Armenia
50.57% ( 0.06)	24.54% ( 0.01)	24.89% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 53.16% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.1% (

-0.11)

48.89% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.01% (

-0.1)

70.99% (

0.1)

Kosovo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.65% (

-0.02)

19.34% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.88% (

-0.03)

51.12% (

0.03)

Armenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.91% (

-0.12)

34.08% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.23% (

-0.13)

70.77% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Kosovo 50.57%

Armenia 24.89%

Draw 24.53%

Kosovo	Draw	Armenia
1-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 50.57%	1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.53%	0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.23% Total : 24.89%