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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Ukraine national football team
Nations League | League B
Jun 11, 2022 at 2pm UK
 
Armenia national football team

Ukraine
3 - 0
Armenia

Malinovskyi (61'), Karavaev (77'), Mykolenko (84')
Zabarnyi (45+2'), Zinchenko (66'), Matviyenko (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Babayan (45+2'), Bayramyan (52'), Adamyan (89'), Voskanyan (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Ukraine and Armenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ukraine

Last Six:
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-1 Ukraine
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Armenia

Last Six:
Last Game: Scotland 2-0 Armenia
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Ukraine 3-0 Armenia

 Despite the backdrop of conflict at home, and the crushing disappointment of missing out on Qatar 2022, Ukraine have acquitted themselves admirably over the last fortnight, and they are comfortably at home in League B. Armenia, meanwhile, are still new to this level of Nations League competition, and are not particularly prolific - drawing a blank in four of their last seven games. Their weekend trip to Poland, then, should end pointless. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 18.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Ukraine in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ukraine.

Result
UkraineDrawArmenia
56.13% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 25.77% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 18.1% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 41.09% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.71% (0.058 0.06)60.29% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.54% (0.044 0.04)80.45% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.37% (0.018000000000001 0.02)21.62% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.26% (0.028999999999996 0.03)54.74% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Armenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.43% (0.060000000000002 0.06)47.57% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.09% (0.044999999999998 0.04)82.91% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ukraine 56.13%
    Armenia 18.1%
    Draw 25.76%
UkraineDrawArmenia
1-0 @ 15.75% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 12.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.7% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 56.13%
1-1 @ 11.7%
0-0 @ 10.28% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.33% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 7.64% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 4.35% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.08% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 18.1%

How you voted: Ukraine vs Armenia

Ukraine
85.2%
Draw
9.1%
Armenia
5.7%
88
rhs 2.0
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