Despite the backdrop of conflict at home, and the crushing disappointment of missing out on Qatar 2022, Ukraine have acquitted themselves admirably over the last fortnight, and they are comfortably at home in League B.
Armenia, meanwhile, are still new to this level of Nations League competition, and are not particularly prolific - drawing a blank in four of their last seven games. Their weekend trip to Poland, then, should end pointless.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 18.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Ukraine in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ukraine.
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