Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bosnia-Herzegovina win with a probability of 35.86%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.09%) and 2-1 (6.95%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 0-1 (13.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
