UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Sep 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Aviva Stadium

Rep. Ireland
3 - 2
Armenia

Egan (18'), Obafemi (52'), Brady (90+1' pen.)
Molumby (29')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dashyan (71'), Spertsyan (73')
Bayramyan (65'), Dashyan (75')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Republic of Ireland and Armenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Republic of Ireland

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Scotland 2-1 Rep. Ireland
Saturday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Ukraine	0	0	0
4	Armenia	0	0	0

Armenia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Armenia 0-5 Ukraine
Saturday, September 24 at 2pm in Nations League

Current League B1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Ukraine	0	0	0
4	Armenia	0	0	0

We said: Republic of Ireland 2-1 Armenia

Having already defeated Republic of Ireland in this group, Armenia will have every confidence that they can battle their way to a win in Dublin. That said, it would represent some turnaround after Saturday's defeat versus Ukraine, and we feel that the home side should have enough quality to come through this contest with three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 50.45%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 21.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Republic of Ireland would win this match.

Result
Republic of Ireland	Draw	Armenia
50.45% ( 0.01)	27.77% ( 0.01)	21.78% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 41.05% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.96% (

-0.05)

63.04% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.5% (

-0.04)

82.5% (

0.04)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.67% (

-0.02)

25.33% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.89% (

-0.03)

60.11% (

0.03)

Armenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.98% (

-0.05)

45.02% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.05% (

-0.04)

80.95% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Republic of Ireland 50.45%

Armenia 21.78%

Draw 27.76%

Republic of Ireland	Draw	Armenia
1-0 @ 15.66% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.92% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.69% 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 2% Total : 50.45%	1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.45% Total : 27.76%	0-1 @ 9.1% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 21.78%