UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Sep 24, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Hampden Park

Scotland
2 - 1
Rep. Ireland

Hendry (50'), Christie (81' pen.)
McKenna (63'), McTominay (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Egan (18')
Cullen (45+1'), Egan (73'), Coleman (81'), Knight (86'), Brady (90+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Scotland and Republic of Ireland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Scotland

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Scotland 3-0 Ukraine
Wednesday, September 21 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Ukraine	0	0	0
4	Armenia	0	0	0

Republic of Ireland

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Ukraine 1-1 Rep. Ireland
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Ukraine	0	0	0
4	Armenia	0	0	0

We said: Scotland 2-1 Republic of Ireland

Given Scotland's efforts against Ukraine, there will inevitably be some tiredness in their legs, and that will only encourage Republic of Ireland. Nevertheless, it will still take a big performance from the Green Army to beat Scotland, something which we do not think that they are capable of at this time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 60.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 14.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.93%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.35%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Scotland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Scotland.

Result
Scotland	Draw	Republic of Ireland
60.66% ( 2.14)	25.07% ( -0.45)	14.27% ( -1.69)

Both teams to score 36.08% (

-2.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.06% (

-0.88)

62.94% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.58% (

-0.64)

82.42% (

0.64)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.11% (

0.5)

20.88% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.41% (

0.77)

53.59% (

-0.77)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.6% (

-2.98)

54.39% (

2.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.48% (

-1.89)

87.51% (

1.89)

Score Analysis

Scotland 60.66%

Republic of Ireland 14.27%

Draw 25.05%

Scotland	Draw	Republic of Ireland
1-0 @ 17.79% ( 0.84) 2-0 @ 13.93% ( 0.85) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.55) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.82% Total : 60.66%	0-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.36) 1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.31) Other @ 0.29% Total : 25.05%	0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.45) 0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.33) Other @ 1.95% Total : 14.27%