UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Sep 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Hampden Park

Scotland
3 - 0
Ukraine

McGinn (70'), Dykes (80', 87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Stepanenko (18'), Bondar (45+1'), Yaremchuk (71'), Sydorchuk (83'), Malinovskyi (90+2')

Everton defender Nathan Patterson stretchered off for Scotland

Everton defender Nathan Patterson is stretchered off with what appears to be a knee injury while representing Scotland against Ukraine on Wednesday night.

Sep 21, 20:33

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Nations League clash between Scotland and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Scotland

Last Six:

Last Game: Armenia 1-4 Scotland
Tuesday, June 14 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League B1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Ukraine	0	0	0
4	Armenia	0	0	0

Ukraine

Last Six:

Last Game: Ukraine 1-1 Rep. Ireland
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Ukraine	0	0	0
4	Armenia	0	0	0

Having benefitted from the return of some relative 'normality', Ukraine's home-based players will now be match-fit and ready to impose their style of play on a Scotland side that has stumbled a little over the past year. Keeping themselves on-track for a return to the Nations League's top tier, the visitors can score twice and take maximum points home from Hampden. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 54.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 22.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Ukraine win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scotland would win this match.

Result
Scotland	Draw	Ukraine
54.25% ( -0.01)	23.39% ( -0.01)	22.35% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 53.87% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.45% (

0.06)

46.55% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.18% (

0.05)

68.82% (

-0.06)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.94% (

0.02)

17.06% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.77% (

0.03)

47.23% (

-0.04)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.95% (

0.04)

35.05% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.2% (

0.05)

71.8% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Scotland 54.25%

Ukraine 22.35%

Draw 23.39%

Scotland	Draw	Ukraine
1-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.44% 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 54.25%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.39%	0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.29% 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 22.35%