Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Wales
2 - 4
Armenia

James (10'), Wilson (72')
Mepham (70'), Williams (85')
Moore (78')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Zelarayan (19', 75'), Ranos (30', 66')
Ranos (67'), Tiknizyan (70'), Cancarevic (78'), Petrakov (80'), Mkrtchyan (84'), Briasco (90+5')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Wales and Armenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wales

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Wales 1-0 Latvia
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Croatia	2	2	4
2	Wales	2	1	4
3	Turkey	2	-1	3
4	Armenia	1	-1	0
5	Latvia	1	-1	0

Armenia

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Armenia 2-2 Cyprus
Tuesday, March 28 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Croatia	2	2	4
2	Wales	2	1	4
3	Turkey	2	-1	3
4	Armenia	1	-1	0
5	Latvia	1	-1	0

Wales are expected to secure a hard-fought win over Armenia to hold on to first place in their group, even if a high-scoring encounter is unlikely, going by previous home results in Euro qualifying. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 69.61%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 10.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.41%) and 3-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Wales	Draw	Armenia
69.61% ( 0.03)	20.32% ( -0.01)	10.07% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 36.52% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.69% (

-0.02)

55.31% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.47% (

-0.01)

76.52% (

0.01)

Wales Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.09% (

14.91% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.71% (

0.01)

43.28% (

-0.01)

Armenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.92% (

-0.05)

57.07% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.91% (

-0.03)

89.08% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Wales 69.6%

Armenia 10.07%

Draw 20.32%

Wales	Draw	Armenia
1-0 @ 16.19% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 15.41% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.77% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.54% Total : 69.6%	1-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.32%	0-1 @ 4.77% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 1.41% Total : 10.07%