MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 15:36:56| >> :600:6293890:6293890:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Wales national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Armenia national football team

Wales
2 - 4
Armenia

James (10'), Wilson (72')
Mepham (70'), Williams (85')
Moore (78')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Zelarayan (19', 75'), Ranos (30', 66')
Ranos (67'), Tiknizyan (70'), Cancarevic (78'), Petrakov (80'), Mkrtchyan (84'), Briasco (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Wales and Armenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wales

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Wales 1-0 Latvia
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Croatia224
2Wales214
3Turkey2-13
4Armenia1-10
5Latvia1-10

Armenia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Armenia 2-2 Cyprus
Tuesday, March 28 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Croatia224
2Wales214
3Turkey2-13
4Armenia1-10
5Latvia1-10

We said: Wales 1-0 Armenia

 Wales are expected to secure a hard-fought win over Armenia to hold on to first place in their group, even if a high-scoring encounter is unlikely, going by previous home results in Euro qualifying. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 69.61%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 10.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.41%) and 3-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
WalesDrawArmenia
69.61% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 20.32% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 10.07% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 36.52% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.69% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)55.31% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.47% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)76.52% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.09% (0.0049999999999955 0)14.91% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.71% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)43.28% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Armenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.92% (-0.055 -0.05)57.07% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.91% (-0.032 -0.03)89.08% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Wales 69.6%
    Armenia 10.07%
    Draw 20.32%
WalesDrawArmenia
1-0 @ 16.19% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 15.41% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 9.78% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 4.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.77% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 69.6%
1-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.51% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.42% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 20.32%
0-1 @ 4.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.34% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 10.07%

How you voted: Wales vs Armenia

Wales
78.9%
Draw
11.6%
Armenia
9.5%
95
rhs 2.0
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