Friendlies 2

Mar 28, 2023 at 4pm UK

Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht

Armenia
2 - 2
Cyprus

Ranos (51', 59')
Iwu (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Karo (43'), Christofi (83')
Kakoullis (41'), Spoljaric (45+1'), Christofi (84'), Panagi (90+4')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Armenia and Cyprus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Armenia

All competitions

Last Game: Armenia 1-2 Turkey
Saturday, March 25 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	1	1	3
2	Wales	1	0	1
3	Croatia	1	0	1
4	Latvia	0	0	0
5	Armenia	1	-1	0

Cyprus

All competitions

Last Game: Scotland 3-0 Cyprus
Saturday, March 25 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	1	3	3
2	Spain	1	3	3
3	Georgia	0	0	0
4	Cyprus	1	-3	0
5	Norway	1	-3	0

Despite the disappointing defeat against Scotland last time out, Cyprus are showing signs of progression under the helm of Ketsbaia, and it would not be a surprise if the manager oversees a positive result on Tuesday, given the recent victory against Israel. Armenia are the favourites on paper, but they have been in poor form of late, still without a win since early June, and so we expect the two nations to play out a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Armenia win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Cyprus had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Armenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Cyprus win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Armenia	Draw	Cyprus
42.76% ( -0)	26.08% ( -0)	31.16% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 52.73% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.45% (

51.55% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.65% (

73.35% (

-0)

Armenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.07% (

23.93% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.85% (

58.15% (

-0)

Cyprus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.32% (

30.68% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.07% (

66.94% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Armenia 42.76%

Cyprus 31.16%

Draw 26.08%

Armenia	Draw	Cyprus
1-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 8.87% 2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.23% 3-0 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.78% Total : 42.76%	1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 7.34% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.08%	0-1 @ 8.67% 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.12% 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.02% Other @ 3.07% Total : 31.16%