Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2023 at 5pm UK
Armenia1 - 2Turkey
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Albania 2-0 Armenia
Saturday, November 19 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies
Saturday, November 19 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies
| Current League B1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Republic of Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Turkey 2-1 Czech Republic
Saturday, November 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Saturday, November 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Armenia 1-3 Turkey
Zelarayan will almost certainly play a key role if Armenia are to do anything, and he may get some joy against a fragile Turkey rearguard. However, the class in the ranks for the visitors is clear, and they should take three points back to Bursa, where they will face Croatia on Tuesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 86.97%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 4.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 0-4 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.19%), while for an Armenia win it was 2-1 (1.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Armenia | Draw | Turkey |
4.09% ( 0.01) | 8.94% ( -0.03) | 86.97% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.14% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.7% ( 0.26) | 25.3% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.7% ( 0.34) | 45.3% ( -0.34) |
| Armenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.93% ( 0.26) | 53.07% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 13.31% ( 0.16) | 86.69% ( -0.17) |
| Turkey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.19% ( 0.04) | 3.81% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 83.74% ( 0.15) | 16.26% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
Armenia 4.09%
Turkey 86.96%
Draw 8.94%
| Armenia | Draw | Turkey |
| 2-1 @ 1.33% ( 0) 1-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.48% Total : 4.09% | 1-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.57% Total : 8.94% | 0-3 @ 11.75% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 10.79% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 9.6% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 7.45% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.09)0-5 @ 6.28% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 6.09% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 3.98% ( 0.04)0-6 @ 3.42% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)1-6 @ 2.17% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.03)0-7 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)1-7 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.85% Total : 86.96% |
How you voted: Armenia vs Turkey
Armenia
18.7%Draw
7.9%Turkey
73.4%139
