Rep. Ireland3 - 2Latvia
The Match
Match Report
Preview
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, November 20 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Current League B1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Republic of Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Ukraine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Saturday, November 19 at 2pm in Baltic Cup
Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 50.98%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 24.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Latvia win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Republic of Ireland would win this match.
Result | ||
Republic of Ireland | Draw | Latvia |
50.98% ( -0.28) | 24.6% ( 0.16) | 24.41% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 52.47% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.43% ( -0.58) | 49.57% ( 0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.4% ( -0.52) | 71.59% ( 0.51) |
Republic of Ireland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.55% ( -0.33) | 19.44% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.71% ( -0.55) | 51.28% ( 0.54) |
Latvia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.14% ( -0.22) | 34.86% ( 0.21) |