Baltic Cup | Semi-Finals
Nov 16, 2022 at 5pm UK
Latvia1 - 1Estonia
FT
(aet)
(aet)
Latvia win 5-3 on penalties
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Andorra 1-1 Latvia
Sunday, September 25 at 2pm in Nations League
Sunday, September 25 at 2pm in Nations League
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: San Marino 0-4 Estonia
Monday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Monday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We say: Latvia 1-2 Estonia
Both sides are coming into the Baltic Cup following promotions in the Nations League meaning both should be confident in winning this competition despite the involvement of Iceland. Even though Latvia have home advantage in this tournament, the unavailability of Gutkovskis could really hinder their efforts to win their 17th Baltic Cup title, so we see the Estonians advancing to the final on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estonia win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Latvia had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estonia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.26%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest Latvia win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%).
| Result | ||
| Latvia | Draw | Estonia |
37.1% ( 0) | 24.01% ( 0) | 38.88% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.41% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
