Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 11, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadions Skonto
Latvia0 - 2Wales
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Croatia 5-0 Latvia
Friday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Friday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
We said: Latvia 0-1 Wales
Latvia look dead and buried already in the section, so Wales must take advantage to get themselves back among the sides challenging for the top two. Their last win outside of Wales came almost two years ago in Estonia, so they must end that barren run here if they want to stay in contention, and they may just have enough despite recent form. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Latvia had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Latvia win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wales would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Latvia | Draw | Wales |
34.51% ( -0.03) | 26.14% ( -0.04) | 39.34% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.54% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
