![Lithuania national football team Lithuania national football team](https://sm.imgix.net/21/12/litlog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Nations League | Relegation Playoff | 2nd Leg
Mar 26, 2024 at 5pm UK
S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas
![Gibraltar national football team Gibraltar national football team](https://sm.imgix.net/21/12/giblog_1.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Lithuania1 - 0Gibraltar
Form, Standings, Stats
Nations League
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-1 Lithuania
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | France | 8 | 26 | 22 |
2 | Netherlands | 8 | 10 | 18 |
3 | Greece | 8 | 6 | 13 |
4 | Republic of Ireland | 8 | -1 | 6 |
5 | Gibraltar | 8 | -41 | 0 |
We said: Lithuania 2-0 Gibraltar (Lithuania win 3-0 on aggregate)
Lithuania are not a side who score many goals, but they created more than enough chances in the first leg to win by a bigger margin. That should be of no detriment to their chances here though, as an out-of-form Gibraltar side are unlikely to overturn the deficit in Kaunas. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 78.8%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 7.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.41%) and 1-0 (10.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.7%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lithuania would win this match.
Result | ||
Lithuania | Draw | Gibraltar |
78.8% (![]() | 14.08% (![]() | 7.12% (![]() |
Both teams to score 43.47% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.82% (![]() | 38.17% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.55% (![]() | 60.45% (![]() |
Lithuania Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.22% (![]() | 7.78% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.35% (![]() | 27.65% (![]() |
Gibraltar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.14% (![]() | 52.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.44% (![]() | 86.56% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lithuania 78.79%
Gibraltar 7.12%
Draw 14.08%
Lithuania | Draw | Gibraltar |
2-0 @ 13.4% (![]() 3-0 @ 11.41% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 10.5% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.55% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 7.29% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.28% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.65% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.72% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 3.23% Total : 78.79% | 1-1 @ 6.7% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.73% ( ![]() Other @ 0.55% Total : 14.08% | 0-1 @ 2.62% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.14% ( ![]() Other @ 2.36% Total : 7.12% |
How you voted: Lithuania vs Gibraltar
Lithuania
86.4%Draw
9.1%Gibraltar
4.5%44
Head to Head
Mar 21, 2024 7.45pm
Relegation Playoff 1st Leg
Gibraltar
0-1
Lithuania
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-28 01:02:10
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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