Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis

Greece
5 - 0
Gibraltar

Pelkas (9'), Mavropanos (23', 82'), Masouras (70', 90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Pozo (58')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Greece and Gibraltar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greece

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Netherlands 3-0 Greece
Thursday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	5	11	15
2	Netherlands	3	2	6
3	Greece	4	0	6
4	Republic of Ireland	4	-1	3
5	Gibraltar	4	-12	0

Gibraltar

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Malta 1-0 Gibraltar
Wednesday, September 6 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	5	11	15
2	Netherlands	3	2	6
3	Greece	4	0	6
4	Republic of Ireland	4	-1	3
5	Gibraltar	4	-12	0

A Greece team seeking to restore a sense of pride from beating at the hands of the Dutch will no doubt be a dangerous proposition for a feeble Gibraltar outfit, whose main focus will surely be keeping the scoreline as respectable as possible. Even though Poyet's side have a safety net thanks to their Nations League success, the hosts should not rest on their laurels on Sunday and will be expected to march to an emphatic success with a few goals in tow. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 98.34%. A draw had a probability of 1.7% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 0%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 4-0 with a probability of 19.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (19.05%) and 5-0 (15.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.66%) The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.

Result
Greece	Draw	Gibraltar
98.34% ( -0.05)	1.66% ( 0.05)	0%

Both teams to score 0%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

77.57% (

-0.42)

22.43% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

58.52% (

-0.57)

41.48% (

0.57)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

98.34% (

-0.05)

1.66% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

91.53% (

-0.2)

8.47% (

0.2)

Gibraltar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

100% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

100% (

Score Analysis

Greece 98.32%

Gibraltar 0%

Draw 1.66%

Greece	Draw	Gibraltar
4-0 @ 19.51% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 19.05% ( 0.16) 5-0 @ 15.99% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 13.95% ( 0.22) 6-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.15) 7-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.14) 8-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.1) 9-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.95% Total : 98.32%	0-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.05) Other @ 0% Total : 1.66%