MX23RW : Friday, June 28 10:01:23| >> :60:1865:1865:
Republic of Ireland national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Aviva Stadium
Gibraltar national football team

Rep. Ireland
3 - 0
Gibraltar

Johnston (52'), Ferguson (59'), Idah (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sergeant (36'), Jolley (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Republic of Ireland and Gibraltar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Greece 2-1 Rep. Ireland
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-3 France
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Republic of Ireland 2-0 Gibraltar

During the qualifying phase for Euro 2016, Ireland stormed to a pair of 7-0 and 4-0 wins over Gibraltar, but the gap was narrowed four years later as the Boys in Green netted just three goals in their subsequent two meetings. With Kenny's men struggling for inspiration so far, a glut of goals should not be expected this time around either, but we still expect the hosts to belatedly get off the mark against the minnows. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Gibraltar had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Gibraltar win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Republic of Ireland would win this match.

Result
Republic of IrelandDrawGibraltar
43.93% (-55.123 -55.12) 21.71% (20.816 20.82) 34.36% (34.303 34.3)
Both teams to score 69.78% (62.3831 62.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.16% (-18.003 -18)29.83% (17.999 18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.01% (-25.55 -25.55)50.99% (25.547 25.55)
Republic of Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5% (-13.826 -13.83)14.5% (13.821 13.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.5% (-38.453 -38.45)42.49% (38.449 38.45)
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61% (74.1641 74.16)18.38% (-74.167 -74.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.48% (50.197 50.2)49.52% (-50.201 -50.2)
Score Analysis
    Republic of Ireland 43.93%
    Gibraltar 34.36%
    Draw 21.71%
Republic of IrelandDrawGibraltar
2-1 @ 8.42% (7.813 7.81)
3-1 @ 5.42% (4.412 4.41)
1-0 @ 5.15% (2.027 2.03)
2-0 @ 4.97% (-2.829 -2.83)
3-2 @ 4.59% (4.55 4.55)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-9.791 -9.79)
4-1 @ 2.62% (1.358 1.36)
4-2 @ 2.22% (2.167 2.17)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-14.696 -14.7)
4-3 @ 1.25% (1.25 1.25)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.248 -0.25)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 43.93%
1-1 @ 8.72% (8.475 8.48)
2-2 @ 7.13% (7.106 7.11)
0-0 @ 2.66% (2.04 2.04)
3-3 @ 2.59% (2.59 2.59)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.71%
1-2 @ 7.38% (7.374 7.37)
0-1 @ 4.51% (4.465 4.47)
1-3 @ 4.17%
2-3 @ 4.03% (4.024 4.02)
0-2 @ 3.82% (3.821 3.82)
0-3 @ 2.16%
1-4 @ 1.77%
2-4 @ 1.71%
3-4 @ 1.1%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.36%

How you voted: Rep. Ireland vs Gibraltar

Republic of Ireland
66.7%
Draw
12.5%
Gibraltar
20.8%
24
Head to Head
Jun 10, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Rep. Ireland
2-0
Gibraltar
Chipolina (29' og.), Brady (93')
Stevens (68')

Olivero (25')
Mar 23, 2019 5pm
Group Stage
Gibraltar
0-1
Rep. Ireland

Casciaro (41'), De Barr (90')
Hendrick (49')
McClean (45'), Stevens (67')
Sep 4, 2015 7.45pm
Oct 11, 2014 5pm
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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