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Champions League
PSV
Champions League | League Stage
Nov 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Philips Stadion
Shakhtar Donetsk

PSV
3 - 2
Shakhtar

Tillman (87', 90'), Pepi (90+5')
Boscagli (59'), Saibari (84'), Tillman (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sikan (8'), Zubkov (37')
Kryskiv (87'), Pusic (90+1')
Pedrinho (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between PSV Eindhoven and Shakhtar Donetsk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: PSV 5-0 Groningen
Saturday, November 23 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Inhulets 0-0 Shakhtar
Saturday, May 17 at 1am in Ukrainian Premier League

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-0 Shakhtar Donetsk

 An impressive win over Girona last time out in this competition shows that PSV have the firepower in attack to progress to the knockouts, and they should fancy themselves to put on a similar show here. Despite a win over Young Boys on matchday four, and some brilliant form domestically, Shakhtar do not travel well and have shown their deficiencies against stronger clubs in this competition already this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 73.38%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 10.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 3-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 1-2 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawShakhtar Donetsk
73.38% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14) 15.66% (0.202 0.2) 10.96% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 55.1% (-1.142 -1.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.68% (-1.271 -1.27)32.32% (1.269 1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.06% (-1.493 -1.49)53.93% (1.491 1.49)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.43% (-0.325 -0.33)7.57% (0.323 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.88% (-0.84399999999999 -0.84)27.11% (0.841 0.84)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.61% (-1.025 -1.03)40.39% (1.021 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.99% (-0.943 -0.94)77% (0.94000000000001 0.94)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 73.38%
    Shakhtar Donetsk 10.96%
    Draw 15.66%
PSV EindhovenDrawShakhtar Donetsk
2-0 @ 10.18% (0.354 0.35)
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.073 0.07)
3-0 @ 8.76% (0.164 0.16)
3-1 @ 7.94% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-0 @ 7.89% (0.404 0.4)
4-0 @ 5.65% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 5.13% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.135 -0.14)
5-0 @ 2.92% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.65% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-2 @ 2.32% (-0.128 -0.13)
6-0 @ 1.26% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.2% (-0.088 -0.09)
6-1 @ 1.14% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 73.38%
1-1 @ 7.16% (0.174 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.06% (0.205 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 15.66%
1-2 @ 3.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.77% (0.112 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.26% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 0.98% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 10.96%

How you voted: PSV vs Shakhtar

PSV Eindhoven
86.4%
Draw
7.0%
Shakhtar Donetsk
6.6%
213
rhs 2.0
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