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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 79.18%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 7.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.91%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.39%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (2.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Groningen |
79.18% ( 3.26) | 13.5% ( -1.67) | 7.31% ( -1.59) |
Both teams to score 46.92% ( -1.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.64% ( 2.36) | 34.36% ( -2.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.72% ( 2.62) | 56.27% ( -2.62) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.13% ( 1.21) | 6.86% ( -1.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.75% ( 3.14) | 25.25% ( -3.14) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.38% ( -2.12) | 49.61% ( 2.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.61% ( -1.53) | 84.39% ( 1.53) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Groningen |
2-0 @ 12.21% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.73) 1-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.53) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.48) 3-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.9) 4-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.35) 5-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.69) 5-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.34) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.4) 6-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.22) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.21% Total : 79.17% | 1-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.79) 0-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.43) 2-2 @ 3% ( -0.36) Other @ 0.71% Total : 13.5% | 0-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.47) 1-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.43) Other @ 2.68% Total : 7.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
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