MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 15:35:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 19, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion
PSV

AZ
1 - 2
PSV

Kasius (90')
Moller Wolfe (10')
FT(HT: 0-2)
de Jong (15'), Lang (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sittard 1-0 AZ
Sunday, October 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 2-1 Sparta
Saturday, October 5 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 1-3 PSV Eindhoven

After a blistering start to the campaign, AZ Alkmaar have suffered a drop-off in form in recent weeks and now face the stern challenge of taking on a high-flying PSV side who boast a 100% record in the league. While we expect AZ to pose a stern challenge in front of their home supporters, we are backing Bosz's men to continue from where they left off before the international break and make it nine wins from nine. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.04%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawPSV Eindhoven
33.54% (-4.48 -4.48) 22.42% (-0.459 -0.46) 44.04% (4.936 4.94)
Both teams to score 66.7% (0.855 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.27% (1.476 1.48)33.73% (-1.481 -1.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.44% (1.662 1.66)55.56% (-1.667 -1.67)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (-1.509 -1.51)20.6% (1.504 1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.85% (-2.436 -2.44)53.15% (2.431 2.43)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84% (2.62 2.62)15.99% (-2.624 -2.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.69% (4.599 4.6)45.31% (-4.604 -4.6)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 33.54%
    PSV Eindhoven 44.04%
    Draw 22.42%
AZ AlkmaarDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 7.54% (-0.655 -0.66)
1-0 @ 5.21% (-0.681 -0.68)
2-0 @ 4.11% (-0.761 -0.76)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.552 -0.55)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.524 -0.52)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.304 -0.3)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 33.54%
1-1 @ 9.54% (-0.354 -0.35)
2-2 @ 6.91% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.3% (-0.26 -0.26)
3-3 @ 2.22% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.42%
1-2 @ 8.75% (0.427 0.43)
0-1 @ 6.04% (0.063 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.54% (0.512 0.51)
1-3 @ 5.34% (0.681 0.68)
2-3 @ 4.22% (0.362 0.36)
0-3 @ 3.38% (0.567 0.57)
1-4 @ 2.45% (0.49 0.49)
2-4 @ 1.93% (0.312 0.31)
0-4 @ 1.55% (0.367 0.37)
3-4 @ 1.02% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 44.04%

How you voted: AZ vs PSV

AZ Alkmaar
6.8%
Draw
6.8%
PSV Eindhoven
86.4%
59
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 5.45pm
Gameweek 29
PSV
5-1
AZ
Bakayoko (9'), De Jong (23', 53'), Veerman (80'), Uneken (90+1')
Teze (25'), Boscagli (45')
Pavlidis (58')
Belic (13'), Mijnans (73')
Dec 17, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 16
AZ
0-4
PSV

van Bommel (45+1'), Goudmijn (77')
De Jong (9' pen., 57'), Saibari (11'), Dest (16')
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
AZ
1-2
PSV
Karlsson (84' pen.)
Karlsson (35'), Clasie (57')
Simons (65', 90+8')
El Ghazi (35'), Benitez (79'), Veerman (90+3'), Simons (90+8')
El Ghazi (90+2')
Nov 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 14
PSV
0-1
AZ
Pavlidis (18')
Feb 5, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 19
PSV
1-2
AZ
Obispo (19')
Sangare (72'), Teze (74'), Gotze (90+1')
Martins Indi (40'), Karlsson (75')
Midtsjo (70'), Wijndal (72'), Hatzidiakos (72'), Sugawara (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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