MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 11:12:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion
PSV

AZ
0 - 4
PSV


van Bommel (45+1'), Goudmijn (77')
FT(HT: 0-3)
de Jong (9' pen., 57'), Saibari (11'), Dest (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Legia 2-0 AZ
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: PSV 1-1 Arsenal
Tuesday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: AZ Alkmaar 1-3 PSV Eindhoven

Jansen will be eager for his players to record a statement result, one which will help ease any pressure on his shoulders. Nevertheless, we cannot back against a rampant PSV who we feel will thoroughly outclass one of their rivals for the title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawPSV Eindhoven
50.89% (1.972 1.97) 22.22% (-0.553 -0.55) 26.89% (-1.415 -1.42)
Both teams to score 63.08% (0.79799999999999 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.3% (1.569 1.57)36.69% (-1.565 -1.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.14% (1.686 1.69)58.86% (-1.683 -1.68)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.31% (1.254 1.25)14.69% (-1.25 -1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.14% (2.35 2.35)42.86% (-2.346 -2.35)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.93% (-0.152 -0.15)26.06% (0.155 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.89% (-0.204 -0.2)61.11% (0.21 0.21)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 50.89%
    PSV Eindhoven 26.89%
    Draw 22.22%
AZ AlkmaarDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
1-0 @ 7.34% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.079 0.08)
3-1 @ 6.06% (0.298 0.3)
3-0 @ 4.5% (0.24 0.24)
3-2 @ 4.07% (0.183 0.18)
4-1 @ 2.9% (0.261 0.26)
4-0 @ 2.16% (0.202 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.167 0.17)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 50.89%
1-1 @ 9.87% (-0.367 -0.37)
2-2 @ 6.37% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.83% (-0.301 -0.3)
3-3 @ 1.83% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.22%
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.278 -0.28)
0-1 @ 5.15% (-0.429 -0.43)
0-2 @ 3.46% (-0.305 -0.31)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 26.89%

How you voted: AZ vs PSV

AZ Alkmaar
23.8%
Draw
4.8%
PSV Eindhoven
71.4%
21
Head to Head
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
AZ
1-2
PSV
Karlsson (84' pen.)
Karlsson (35'), Clasie (57')
Simons (65', 90+8')
El Ghazi (35'), Benitez (79'), Veerman (90+3'), Simons (90+8')
El Ghazi (90+2')
Nov 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 14
PSV
0-1
AZ
Pavlidis (18')
Feb 5, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 19
PSV
1-2
AZ
Obispo (19')
Sangare (72'), Teze (74'), Gotze (90+1')
Martins Indi (40'), Karlsson (75')
Midtsjo (70'), Wijndal (72'), Hatzidiakos (72'), Sugawara (90')
Sep 11, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 4
AZ
0-3
PSV

Hatzidiakos (46'), Midtsjo (63')
Boscagli (14'), Vertessen (69'), Doan (83')
van Ginkel (20'), Obispo (78')
Mar 21, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 27
AZ
2-0
PSV
Karlsson (4'), Koopmeiners (68')

Sangare (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV23164371264552
2Ajax21163245182751
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2312744236643
4Feyenoord22117446262040
5AZ AlkmaarAZ22124638211740
6FC Twente21106544301436
7Go Ahead Eagles2210574034635
8Groningen2376102232-1027
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2383122641-1527
10Fortuna SittardSittard2275102940-1126
11Heerenveen2275102641-1526
12NECNijmegen2173113230224
13PEC Zwolle2266102634-824
14Willem II2366112634-824
15Heracles225982839-1124
16Sparta RotterdamSparta2348111933-1420
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2245133145-1417
18Almere CityAlmere City2134141243-3113


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