MX23RW : Friday, November 22 07:40:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
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FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
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PSV
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Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
AZ Alkmaar

Excelsior
1 - 1
AZ

Sandra (90+1')
Lamprou (7'), Baas (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lahdo (72')
de Wit (25'), Bazoer (68'), Moller Wolfe (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Volendam 3-1 Excelsior
Sunday, October 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 1-2 Nijmegen
Sunday, October 29 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-3 AZ Alkmaar

AZ have been scoring for fun all season long and we are backing them to enjoy another field day in front of goal. We are also backing this weekend's visitors to carry the day in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.74%) and 0-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 2-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawAZ Alkmaar
21.04% (0.025000000000002 0.03) 21.45% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 57.52% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 58.57% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)39.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.23% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)61.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)32.27% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.23% (0.033000000000001 0.03)68.77% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.48% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)13.52% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.43% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)40.57% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 21.04%
    AZ Alkmaar 57.52%
    Draw 21.45%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 5.58% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-0 @ 4.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 2.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-1 @ 2.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 21.04%
1-1 @ 9.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 4.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.45%
1-2 @ 9.88% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 8.74% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.73% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 6.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 5.83% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 3.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 2.92% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.86%
1-5 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
0-5 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 57.52%

How you voted: Excelsior vs AZ

SBV Excelsior
4.8%
Draw
4.8%
AZ Alkmaar
90.5%
21
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 21
AZ
5-0
Excelsior
Mijnans (20', 30'), Karlsson (27'), Odgaard (35'), Pavlidis (38')
Oct 23, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 11
Excelsior
2-1
AZ
Horemans (6'), Azarkan (31')
Sugawara (48')
May 15, 2019 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
Excelsior
4-2
AZ
Fortes (21'), Van Rhijn (51' og.), Bruins (60' pen.), Omarsson (66')
Mattheij (41')
Koopmeiners (30'), Johnsen (70')
Gudmundsson (59')
Dec 15, 2018 6.45pm
Gameweek 16
AZ
2-1
Excelsior
Til (39'), Johnsen (94')
Ouwejan (57')
Mahmudov (30')
Fortes (75')
Mar 3, 2018 5.30pm
Excelsior
1-2
AZ
Messaoud (64')
Koolwijk (34'), Bruins (70')
Zwarthoed (19' og.), Jahanbakhsh (44')
Svensson (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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