MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 15:46:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Fortuna Sittard

AZ
4 - 0
Sittard

Clasie (45+1'), Pavlidis (49'), Siovas (82' og.), Dantas (88')
de Wit (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sierhuis (24'), Siovas (35'), Duarte (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 1-1 Heracles
Thursday, September 28 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 Sittard
Friday, September 22 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-0 Fortuna Sittard

Aiming to bounce back from a first setback of the season in midweek, we see AZ Alkmaar being far too strong for Sunday's visitors and making a return to winning ways in dominant fashion on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 74.63%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 10.22%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 3-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawFortuna Sittard
74.63% (0.456 0.46) 15.16% (-0.218 -0.22) 10.22% (-0.236 -0.24)
Both teams to score 54.23% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.95% (0.369 0.37)32.05% (-0.367 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.38% (0.429 0.43)53.62% (-0.426 -0.43)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.74% (0.179 0.18)7.26% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.7% (0.46199999999999 0.46)26.3% (-0.46 -0.46)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.47% (-0.173 -0.17)41.53% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.98% (-0.152 -0.15)78.02% (0.15400000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 74.62%
    Fortuna Sittard 10.22%
    Draw 15.16%
AZ AlkmaarDrawFortuna Sittard
2-0 @ 10.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
3-0 @ 9.07% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
3-1 @ 7.97% (0.024 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.91% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
4-0 @ 5.95% (0.1 0.1)
4-1 @ 5.23% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3.12% (0.081 0.08)
5-1 @ 2.74% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 2.3% (0.017 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.36% (0.047 0.05)
5-2 @ 1.2% (0.019 0.02)
6-1 @ 1.2% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 74.62%
1-1 @ 6.95% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.01% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 15.16%
1-2 @ 3.05% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-1 @ 2.65% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.16% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 10.22%

How you voted: AZ vs Sittard

AZ Alkmaar
93.8%
Draw
0.0%
Fortuna Sittard
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 29
Sittard
0-3
AZ
Odgaard (24'), Milos (42'), Pavlidis (84')
Jan 22, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 17
AZ
3-1
Sittard
De Wit (4'), Navarro (24' og.), Pavlidis (56')
Yilmaz (11' pen.)
Jan 16, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 18
Sittard
1-2
AZ
Rienstra (85')
Beukema (14'), Sugawara (61')
Dec 2, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 2
AZ
2-1
Sittard
Pavlidis (41'), Karlsson (51')
Hatzidiakos (57')
Flemming (9')
Musaba (13')
May 8, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 32
AZ
1-0
Sittard
Gudmundsson (29' pen.)
Aboukhlal (31'), Bizot (90+3'), Midtsjo (90+5')
Leeuwin (49')

van Osch (27')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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