Eredivisie | Gameweek 7

Oct 1, 2023 at 3.45pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
4 - 0
Sittard

Clasie (45+1'), Pavlidis (49'), Siovas (82' og.), Dantas (88')
de Wit (28')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sierhuis (24'), Siovas (35'), Duarte (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 1-1 Heracles
Thursday, September 28 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 Sittard
Friday, September 22 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-0 Fortuna Sittard

Aiming to bounce back from a first setback of the season in midweek, we see AZ Alkmaar being far too strong for Sunday's visitors and making a return to winning ways in dominant fashion on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 74.63%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 10.22%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 3-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
74.63% ( 0.46)	15.16% ( -0.22)	10.22% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 54.23% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.95% (

0.37)

32.05% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.38% (

0.43)

53.62% (

-0.43)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.74% (

0.18)

7.26% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.7% (

0.46)

26.3% (

-0.46)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.47% (

-0.17)

41.53% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.98% (

-0.15)

78.02% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 74.62%

Fortuna Sittard 10.22%

Draw 15.16%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
2-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.62% Total : 74.62%	1-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.16%	1-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.18% Total : 10.22%