Eredivisie | Gameweek 4

Sep 3, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Sittard
0 - 0
Ajax

Buijs (37+37'), Dijks (65'), Rosier (90'), Oratmangoen (90+2')

Avila (36'), Brobbey (45+6'), Steijn (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Excelsior 2-2 Sittard
Saturday, August 26 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 0-1 Ludogorets
Thursday, August 31 at 7pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Fortuna Sittard 0-2 Ajax

Having already secured a draw against Feyenoord this season, Sittard will fancy their chances of upsetting Ajax. However, the visitors are in need of kick-starting their domestic campaign, and we feel that they will do so with a hard-earned victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 56.69%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 21.98% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.22%) and 0-1 (8.11%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Ajax
21.98% ( 1.11)	21.33% ( 0.27)	56.69% ( -1.38)

Both teams to score 60.45% (

0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.39% (

0.22)

37.61% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.16% (

0.24)

59.84% (

-0.23)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.62% (

1.13)

30.38% (

-1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.43% (

1.33)

66.57% (

-1.32)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.83% (

-0.33)

13.17% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.13% (

-0.68)

39.87% (

0.69)

Score Analysis

Fortuna Sittard 21.98%

Ajax 56.69%

Draw 21.33%

Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.89% Total : 21.98%	1-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 4% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.33%	1-2 @ 9.8% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.3) 0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 6.62% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 5.56% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 3.35% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 2.82% ( -0.18) 2-4 @ 2% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.77% Total : 56.69%