Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)
Ludogorets1 - 4Ajax
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Excelsior 2-2 Ajax
Saturday, August 19 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, August 19 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
We said: Ludogorets Razgrad 1-2 Ajax
Having already lost a couple of league games in uncharacteristic fashion, Ludogorets look set to suffer another defeat when Ajax visit Huvepharma Arena, although Thursday's clash will likely be a tight affair as both sides aim to remain in the tie. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.14%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ludogorets Razgrad | Draw | Ajax |
| 49.72% | 21.04% | 29.24% |
| Both teams to score 69.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
