Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Astana Arena
Astana2 - 1Ludogorets
Coverage of the Europa League Third Qualifying Round clash between Astana and Ludogorets Razgrad.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 49.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Astana had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for an Astana win it was 1-0 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Astana | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
25.24% ( -1.23) | 25.45% ( -0.41) | 49.31% ( 1.64) |
| Both teams to score 50.72% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
