Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-4 Excelsior
Sunday, August 13 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Sunday, August 13 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Monday, August 14 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Monday, August 14 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
We said: SBV Excelsior 0-2 Ajax
Excelsior will enter Saturday's clash in buoyant mood after their dramatic win last weekend, but Ajax's record in this fixture in recent years is difficult to ignore. Despite the departure of a few key players from last season, we believe that Steijn's side still have enough quality to claim maximum points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 58.82%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 20.95% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.8%) and 0-1 (7.16%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Ajax |
20.95% ( 0.06) | 20.22% ( 0.08) | 58.82% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 62.94% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.33% ( -0.34) | 33.67% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.51% ( -0.39) | 55.49% ( 0.39) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.96% ( -0.15) | 29.03% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.06% ( -0.18) | 64.94% ( 0.18) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.68% ( -0.14) | 11.31% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.03% ( -0.31) | 35.97% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior 20.95%
Ajax 58.82%
Draw 20.22%
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.26% 3-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 20.95% | 1-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.22% | 1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.05)0-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 7.01% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.67% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 3.82% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 3.09% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.66% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.95% Total : 58.82% |
How you voted: Excelsior vs Ajax
SBV Excelsior
6.7%Draw
13.3%Ajax
80.0%30
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2023 1.30pm
Oct 16, 2022 7pm
Apr 13, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Ajax
6-2
Excelsior
Nov 11, 2018 1.30pm
Gameweek 12
Excelsior
1-7
Ajax
May 6, 2018 1.30pm
