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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 31
May 7, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
 
Feyenoord

Excelsior
0 - 2
Feyenoord

FT(HT: 0-1)
Gimenez (9', 75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vitesse 0-0 Excelsior
Saturday, April 22 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 3-1 Utrecht
Sunday, April 23 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 0-4 Feyenoord

Feyenoord have been near-perfect on the road all-season long, and it is hard to envisage any other outcome rather than a win for them. We are tipping the visitors to cruise to a comfortable victory, scoring plenty of goals en route. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 66.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 15.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.79%) and 1-3 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 2-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawFeyenoord
15.32% (0.383 0.38) 17.83% (0.331 0.33) 66.84% (-0.714 -0.71)
Both teams to score 60.35% (-0.317 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.07% (-0.828 -0.83)31.92% (0.825 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.52% (-0.974 -0.97)53.47% (0.971 0.97)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.22% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)33.78% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.56% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)70.44% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.13% (-0.376 -0.38)8.86% (0.374 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.66% (-0.916 -0.92)30.34% (0.913 0.91)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 15.32%
    Feyenoord 66.84%
    Draw 17.83%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawFeyenoord
2-1 @ 4.27% (0.099 0.1)
1-0 @ 3.25% (0.138 0.14)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.76% (0.071 0.07)
3-1 @ 1.55% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 15.32%
1-1 @ 7.87% (0.199 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.031 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.99% (0.132 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 17.83%
1-2 @ 9.54% (0.075999999999999 0.08)
0-2 @ 8.79% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
1-3 @ 7.71% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-1 @ 7.25% (0.198 0.2)
0-3 @ 7.1% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 4.67% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-4 @ 4.3% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-3 @ 4.18% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-4 @ 2.53% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-5 @ 2.26% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-5 @ 2.09% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-5 @ 1.23% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-4 @ 0.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-6 @ 0.91% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 66.84%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Feyenoord

SBV Excelsior
8.0%
Draw
0.0%
Feyenoord
92.0%
25
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 3.45pm
gameweek 14
Feyenoord
5-1
Excelsior
Szymanski (11', 50'), Kokcu (20', 66'), Walemark (78')
Goudmijn (4')
van Duinen (19')
Feb 3, 2019 11.15am
gameweek 20
Excelsior
2-1
Feyenoord
Messaoud (63'), Van der Meer (90')
Schouten (59'), van der Meer (93')
Van Persie (54')
Vilhena (73')
Aug 19, 2018 1.30pm
Apr 1, 2018 3.45pm
Feyenoord
5-0
Excelsior
Boetius (4'), Toornstra (27'), Vilhena (42'), Berghuis (55'), De Wijs (76' og.)

Faes (35'), Mattheij (78')
Aug 20, 2017 11.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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