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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
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Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 31
May 7, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
 
Feyenoord

Excelsior
0 - 2
Feyenoord

FT(HT: 0-1)
Gimenez (9', 75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vitesse 0-0 Excelsior
Saturday, April 22 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 3-1 Utrecht
Sunday, April 23 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 0-4 Feyenoord

Feyenoord have been near-perfect on the road all-season long, and it is hard to envisage any other outcome rather than a win for them. We are tipping the visitors to cruise to a comfortable victory, scoring plenty of goals en route. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 66.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 15.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.79%) and 1-3 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 2-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawFeyenoord
15.32% (0.383 0.38) 17.83% (0.331 0.33) 66.84% (-0.714 -0.71)
Both teams to score 60.35% (-0.317 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.07% (-0.828 -0.83)31.92% (0.825 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.52% (-0.974 -0.97)53.47% (0.971 0.97)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.22% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)33.78% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.56% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)70.44% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.13% (-0.376 -0.38)8.86% (0.374 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.66% (-0.916 -0.92)30.34% (0.913 0.91)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 15.32%
    Feyenoord 66.84%
    Draw 17.83%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawFeyenoord
2-1 @ 4.27% (0.099 0.1)
1-0 @ 3.25% (0.138 0.14)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.76% (0.071 0.07)
3-1 @ 1.55% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 15.32%
1-1 @ 7.87% (0.199 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.031 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.99% (0.132 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 17.83%
1-2 @ 9.54% (0.075999999999999 0.08)
0-2 @ 8.79% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
1-3 @ 7.71% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-1 @ 7.25% (0.198 0.2)
0-3 @ 7.1% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 4.67% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-4 @ 4.3% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-3 @ 4.18% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-4 @ 2.53% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-5 @ 2.26% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-5 @ 2.09% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-5 @ 1.23% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-4 @ 0.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-6 @ 0.91% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 66.84%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Feyenoord

SBV Excelsior
8.0%
Draw
0.0%
Feyenoord
92.0%
25
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 3.45pm
gameweek 14
Feyenoord
5-1
Excelsior
Szymanski (11', 50'), Kokcu (20', 66'), Walemark (78')
Goudmijn (4')
van Duinen (19')
Feb 3, 2019 11.15am
gameweek 20
Excelsior
2-1
Feyenoord
Messaoud (63'), Van der Meer (90')
Schouten (59'), van der Meer (93')
Van Persie (54')
Vilhena (73')
Aug 19, 2018 1.30pm
Apr 1, 2018 3.45pm
Feyenoord
5-0
Excelsior
Boetius (4'), Toornstra (27'), Vilhena (42'), Berghuis (55'), De Wijs (76' og.)

Faes (35'), Mattheij (78')
Aug 20, 2017 11.30am
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV66002341918
2AZ AlkmaarAZ65101621416
3FC UtrechtUtrecht541095413
4FC Twente6321125711
5Feyenoord523011569
6Groningen623110739
7Sparta RotterdamSparta62317619
8Heracles723269-39
9Willem II622210738
10Ajax42118357
11Go Ahead Eagles621359-47
12Heerenveen7214916-77
13NECNijmegen620467-16
14Fortuna SittardSittard6204612-66
15NAC BredaNAC Breda6204513-86
16PEC Zwolle6114610-44
17Almere CityAlmere City6024217-152
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk6006317-140


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