Eredivisie | Gameweek 26

Mar 19, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

Amsterdam Arena

Ajax
2 - 3
Feyenoord

Alvarez (17'), Tadic (37')
Taylor (44'), Sanchez (78')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Gimenez (5'), Szymanski (52'), Geertruida (86')
Hartman (7'), Idrissi (27'), Holmgren Pedersen (81'), Kokcu (89'), Lopez (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Feyenoord score an 86th-minute winner to beat Ajax away for the first time since 2005, with their 3-2 win in De Klassieker sending them six points clear in the Eredivisie.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Heerenveen 2-4 Ajax
Sunday, March 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Feyenoord

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Feyenoord 7-1 Shakhtar
Thursday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.08%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.96%) and 1-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Feyenoord
53.08% ( -1.48)	21.44% ( 0.25)	25.48% ( 1.22)

Both teams to score 64.52% (

0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.8% (

0.03)

34.19% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.91% (

0.03)

56.08% (

-0.04)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.88% (

-0.43)

13.12% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.24% (

-0.88)

39.76% (

0.88)

Feyenoord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.27% (

0.91)

25.73% (

-0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.34% (

1.23)

60.66% (

-1.23)

Score Analysis

Ajax 53.08%

Feyenoord 25.48%

Draw 21.44%

Ajax	Draw	Feyenoord
2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.08) 4-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.21% Total : 53.08%	1-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.44%	1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.35% Total : 25.48%