Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 19, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Ajax2 - 3Feyenoord
The Match
Match Report
Feyenoord score an 86th-minute winner to beat Ajax away for the first time since 2005, with their 3-2 win in De Klassieker sending them six points clear in the Eredivisie.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Heerenveen 2-4 Ajax
Sunday, March 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, March 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 7-1 Shakhtar
Thursday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.08%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.96%) and 1-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Feyenoord |
53.08% ( -1.48) | 21.44% ( 0.25) | 25.48% ( 1.22) |
| Both teams to score 64.52% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.8% ( 0.03) | 34.19% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.91% ( 0.03) | 56.08% ( -0.04) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.88% ( -0.43) | 13.12% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.24% ( -0.88) | 39.76% ( 0.88) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.27% ( 0.91) | 25.73% ( -0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.34% ( 1.23) | 60.66% ( -1.23) |
| Score Analysis |
Ajax 53.08%
Feyenoord 25.48%
Draw 21.44%
| Ajax | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.24)1-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.08)4-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.21% Total : 53.08% | 1-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.44% | 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.35% Total : 25.48% |
How you voted: Ajax vs Feyenoord
Ajax
57.7%Draw
17.3%Feyenoord
25.0%52
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2023 1.30pm
Mar 20, 2022 1.30pm
Ajax
3-2
Feyenoord
Sinisterra (8'), Til (28')
Jan 17, 2021 3.45pm
