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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.08%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.96%) and 1-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Feyenoord |
53.08% ( -1.48) | 21.44% ( 0.25) | 25.48% ( 1.22) |
Both teams to score 64.52% ( 0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.8% ( 0.03) | 34.19% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.91% ( 0.03) | 56.08% ( -0.04) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.88% ( -0.43) | 13.12% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.24% ( -0.88) | 39.76% ( 0.88) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.27% ( 0.91) | 25.73% ( -0.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.34% ( 1.23) | 60.66% ( -1.23) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.08) 4-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.21% Total : 53.08% | 1-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.44% | 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.35% Total : 25.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |