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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 19, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Feyenoord

Ajax
2 - 3
Feyenoord

Alvarez (17'), Tadic (37')
Taylor (44'), Sanchez (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gimenez (5'), Szymanski (52'), Geertruida (86')
Hartman (7'), Idrissi (27'), Holmgren Pedersen (81'), Kokcu (89'), Lopez (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Feyenoord score an 86th-minute winner to beat Ajax away for the first time since 2005, with their 3-2 win in De Klassieker sending them six points clear in the Eredivisie.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heerenveen 2-4 Ajax
Sunday, March 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 7-1 Shakhtar
Thursday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.08%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.96%) and 1-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawFeyenoord
53.08% (-1.479 -1.48) 21.44% (0.253 0.25) 25.48% (1.221 1.22)
Both teams to score 64.52% (0.479 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.8% (0.028999999999996 0.03)34.19% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.91% (0.033999999999999 0.03)56.08% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.88% (-0.43300000000001 -0.43)13.12% (0.429 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.24% (-0.883 -0.88)39.76% (0.88 0.88)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.27% (0.914 0.91)25.73% (-0.918 -0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.34% (1.225 1.23)60.66% (-1.229 -1.23)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 53.08%
    Feyenoord 25.48%
    Draw 21.44%
AjaxDrawFeyenoord
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.243 -0.24)
1-0 @ 6.86% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-1 @ 6.4% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-0 @ 4.72% (-0.244 -0.24)
3-2 @ 4.34% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.25% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.39% (-0.165 -0.17)
4-2 @ 2.21% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.32% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-3 @ 1% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 53.08%
1-1 @ 9.31% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.42% (0.114 0.11)
0-0 @ 3.38% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.97% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.44%
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.213 0.21)
0-1 @ 4.58% (0.111 0.11)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.153 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.9% (0.126 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.86% (0.167 0.17)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.104 0.1)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.067 0.07)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 25.48%

How you voted: Ajax vs Feyenoord

Ajax
57.7%
Draw
17.3%
Feyenoord
25.0%
52
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2023 1.30pm
Feyenoord
1-1
Ajax
Paixao (34')
Jahanbakhsh (24'), Kokcu (55'), Holmgren Pedersen (60'), Wieffer (79')
Klaassen (71')
Taylor (8'), Maduro (24'), Alvarez (39'), Klaassen (80')
Mar 20, 2022 1.30pm
Ajax
3-2
Feyenoord
Haller (24'), Tadic (78'), Antony (86')
Antony (88'), Klaassen (90+5')
Antony (90+3')
Sinisterra (8'), Til (28')
Dec 19, 2021 1.30pm
Feyenoord
0-2
Ajax

Linssen (13'), Toornstra (37'), Aursnes (51'), Slot (72'), Nelson (80')
Senesi (44' og.), Tadic (81' pen.)
Gravenberch (15'), Haller (32'), Antony (34')
May 9, 2021 1.30pm
Feyenoord
0-3
Ajax

Fer (14'), Malacia (38')
Malacia (60')
Senesi (21' og.), Haps (67' og.), Kudus (79')
Alvarez (44'), Martinez (79')
Alvarez (45+1')
Jan 17, 2021 3.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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