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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 18.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 0-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Vitesse win it was 2-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ajax in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ajax.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Ajax |
18.59% ( -0.07) | 20.51% ( 0.08) | 60.9% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.63% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.29% ( -0.52) | 38.7% ( 0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.99% ( -0.55) | 61.01% ( 0.55) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.71% ( -0.39) | 34.28% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.01% ( -0.42) | 70.98% ( 0.42) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.7% ( -0.16) | 12.3% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.92% ( -0.34) | 38.08% ( 0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 18.59% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.51% | 1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.26% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 6.92% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 6.47% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 3.63% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 3.39% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.9% Total : 60.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |