MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 22:24:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Jan 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
Philips Stadium
Vitesse

PSV
1 - 0
Vitesse

Til (48')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dijks (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sittard 2-2 PSV
Sunday, January 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 0-0 Nijmegen
Sunday, January 15 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 2-0 Vitesse

PSV need to string together an extensive run of victories in order to keep their title dreams alive, and given their home record this season, it is difficult to see them not claiming all three points this weekend. Vitesse have shared the spoils in their last three, proving that they can compete with the better sides in the league, but PSV should have too much firepower here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 75.43%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 10.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 3-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawVitesse
75.43% (-0.91800000000001 -0.92) 14.48% (0.503 0.5) 10.09% (0.412 0.41)
Both teams to score 56.72% (-0.497 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.15% (-1.326 -1.33)28.85% (1.323 1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.21% (-1.645 -1.65)49.79% (1.642 1.64)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.61% (-0.453 -0.45)6.39% (0.45 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.04% (-1.256 -1.26)23.96% (1.254 1.25)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.59% (-0.238 -0.24)39.41% (0.235 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.89% (-0.223 -0.22)76.1% (0.22 0.22)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 75.43%
    Vitesse 10.09%
    Draw 14.48%
PSV EindhovenDrawVitesse
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.177 0.18)
3-0 @ 8.73% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-1 @ 8.13% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 6.92% (0.356 0.36)
4-0 @ 6.01% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-1 @ 5.59% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-0 @ 3.3% (-0.177 -0.18)
5-1 @ 3.08% (-0.185 -0.19)
4-2 @ 2.6% (-0.103 -0.1)
6-0 @ 1.52% (-0.123 -0.12)
5-2 @ 1.43% (-0.096 -0.1)
6-1 @ 1.41% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 4.52%
Total : 75.43%
1-1 @ 6.45% (0.292 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 2.52% (0.191 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 14.48%
1-2 @ 3% (0.118 0.12)
0-1 @ 2.34% (0.164 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.01 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.09% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 0.93% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 10.09%

How you voted: PSV vs Vitesse

PSV Eindhoven
83.9%
Draw
6.5%
Vitesse
9.7%
31
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 7pm
Vitesse
0-5
PSV

Bazoer (38'), Oroz (67')
Zahavi (4'), Junior (24'), Gakpo (28'), Vinicius (62'), Doan (88')
Nov 20, 2021 3.30pm
PSV
2-0
Vitesse
Sangare (19'), Bruma (30')

Openda (25'), Wittek (45')
Feb 21, 2021 3.45pm
PSV
3-1
Vitesse
Malen (66'), Gotze (86', 88')
Gutierrez (38'), Sangare (75')
Broja (4')
Oct 25, 2020 1.30pm
Vitesse
2-1
PSV
Rasmussen (9'), Openda (54')
Tronstad (64'), Buitink (80'), Dasa (84')
Boscagli (50')
Feb 23, 2020 1.30pm
Vitesse
1-2
PSV
Matavz (50')
Obispo (36')
Lammers (59' pen.), Gakpo (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Lions
34-17
Bears
FT
Browns
6-24
Bengals
9.25pm
Patriots
@
Bills
FT
Titans
30-38
Colts
FT
Giants
7-34
Falcons
FT
Rams
19-9
Jets
FT
Cardinals
30-36
Panthers
FT
Eagles
33-36
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!