Eredivisie | Gameweek 17

Jan 21, 2023 at 7pm UK

Philips Stadium

PSV
1 - 0
Vitesse

Til (48')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dijks (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Sittard 2-2 PSV
Sunday, January 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vitesse

All competitions

Last Game: Vitesse 0-0 Nijmegen
Sunday, January 15 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: PSV Eindhoven 2-0 Vitesse

PSV need to string together an extensive run of victories in order to keep their title dreams alive, and given their home record this season, it is difficult to see them not claiming all three points this weekend. Vitesse have shared the spoils in their last three, proving that they can compete with the better sides in the league, but PSV should have too much firepower here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 75.43%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 10.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 3-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Vitesse
75.43% ( -0.92)	14.48% ( 0.5)	10.09% ( 0.41)

Both teams to score 56.72% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.15% (

-1.33)

28.85% (

1.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.21% (

-1.65)

49.79% (

1.64)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.61% (

-0.45)

6.39% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.04% (

-1.26)

23.96% (

1.25)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.59% (

-0.24)

39.41% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.89% (

-0.22)

76.1% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 75.43%

Vitesse 10.09%

Draw 14.48%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Vitesse
2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 8.73% ( 0) 3-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.36) 4-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.18) 5-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.1) 6-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.12) 5-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.1) 6-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.12) Other @ 4.52% Total : 75.43%	1-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 14.48%	1-2 @ 3% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.44% Total : 10.09%