Friendlies

Dec 30, 2022 at 5.15pm UK

Philips Stadion

PSV
3 - 0
AC Milan

Til (8'), Madueke (21', 56')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Club Friendlies 1 Friendlies clash between PSV Eindhoven and AC Milan.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Club Friendlies 1

Last Game: PSV 4-2 Rakow
Saturday, December 10 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

AC Milan

All competitions

Club Friendlies 1

Last Game: Liverpool 4-1 AC Milan
Friday, December 16 at 3.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.32%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.48%) and 3-1 (6.38%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	AC Milan
52.32% ( 0.05)	21.21% ( 0.05)	26.46% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 66.43% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.85% (

-0.31)

32.14% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.27% (

-0.36)

53.73% (

0.36)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.36% (

-0.09)

12.64% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.21% (

-0.19)

38.78% (

0.19)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.04% (

-0.23)

23.96% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.8% (

-0.32)

58.19% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 52.32%

AC Milan 26.46%

Draw 21.21%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 52.32%	1-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.21%	1-2 @ 6.39% 0-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 26.46%