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Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 2, 2022 at 8pm UK
San Siro
Red Bull Salzburg

AC Milan
4 - 0
Salzburg

Giroud (14', 57'), Krunic (46'), Messias (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Okafor (43'), Gourna-Douath (61')

The Match

Match Report

AC Milan qualify for the knockout round of the Champions League courtesy of a 4-0 victory over Red Bull Salzburg at San Siro.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between AC Milan and Red Bull Salzburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salzburg 1-2 Chelsea
Tuesday, October 25 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.75%) and 2-0 (5.22%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawRed Bull Salzburg
42.52% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08) 22.36% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 35.11% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 67.43% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.02% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)32.97% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.3% (-0.102 -0.1)54.69% (0.1 0.1)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.73% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)16.27% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.19% (-0.123 -0.12)45.81% (0.121 0.12)
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.53% (-0.012 -0.01)19.47% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.67% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)51.32% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 42.52%
    Red Bull Salzburg 35.11%
    Draw 22.36%
AC MilanDrawRed Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 5.75% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.22%
3-1 @ 5.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 42.52%
1-1 @ 9.41% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.99% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 3.17% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.36%
1-2 @ 7.7% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.18% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.24% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
3-4 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 35.11%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Salzburg

AC Milan
68.8%
Draw
21.1%
Red Bull Salzburg
10.2%
413
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2022 8pm
rhs 2.0
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