Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 2, 2022 at 8pm UK

San Siro

AC Milan
4 - 0
Salzburg

Giroud (14', 57'), Krunic (46'), Messias (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Okafor (43'), Gourna-Douath (61')

The Match

Match Report

AC Milan qualify for the knockout round of the Champions League courtesy of a 4-0 victory over Red Bull Salzburg at San Siro.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between AC Milan and Red Bull Salzburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Torino 2-1 AC Milan
Sunday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Salzburg 1-2 Chelsea
Tuesday, October 25 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.75%) and 2-0 (5.22%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
42.52% ( -0.08)	22.36% ( 0.02)	35.11% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 67.43% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.02% (

-0.09)

32.97% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.3% (

-0.1)

54.69% (

0.1)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.73% (

-0.07)

16.27% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.19% (

-0.12)

45.81% (

0.12)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.53% (

-0.01)

19.47% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.67% (

-0.02)

51.32% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 42.52%

Red Bull Salzburg 35.11%

Draw 22.36%

AC Milan	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.22% 3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.68% Total : 42.52%	1-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.99% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.36%	1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.81% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) 3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 35.11%