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Serie A
Hellas Verona logo
Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Milan logo

Hellas Verona
1 - 2
AC Milan

Gunter (19')
Magnani (67'), Hongla (68'), Faraoni (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Veloso (9' og.), Tonali (81')
Hernandez (81'), Rebic (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hellas Verona

All competitions
Last Game: Salernitana 2-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Serie A

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 0-2 Chelsea
Tuesday, October 11 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Hellas Verona 0-2 AC Milan

 The last Serie A draw between Verona and Milan at the Bentegodi was in December 2000, and that run is set to remain unbroken as the champions claim victory again. Despite their absences, the Rossoneri have too much pace and guile for their hosts to handle and should score at least twice. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 64.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 16.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.85%) and 0-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 2-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawAC Milan
16.34% (0.883 0.88) 19.59% (0.265 0.27) 64.07% (-1.148 -1.15)
Both teams to score 56.14% (1.168 1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.56% (0.52200000000001 0.52)38.44% (-0.521 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.27% (0.55200000000001 0.55)60.73% (-0.551 -0.55)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.33% (1.424 1.42)36.67% (-1.425 -1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.54% (1.401 1.4)73.46% (-1.401 -1.4)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.65% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)11.36% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.94% (-0.329 -0.33)36.06% (0.33000000000001 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 16.34%
    AC Milan 64.07%
    Draw 19.59%
Hellas VeronaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 4.56% (0.207 0.21)
1-0 @ 4.18% (0.058 0.06)
2-0 @ 2.1% (0.107 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.66% (0.126 0.13)
3-1 @ 1.52% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 16.34%
1-1 @ 9.09% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.196 0.2)
0-0 @ 4.16% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.59%
1-2 @ 9.89% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.85% (-0.366 -0.37)
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.284 -0.28)
1-3 @ 7.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 7.15% (-0.315 -0.32)
1-4 @ 3.9% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.89% (-0.197 -0.2)
2-3 @ 3.6% (0.122 0.12)
2-4 @ 1.96% (0.055 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.7% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.69% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 64.07%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs AC Milan

Hellas Verona
10.8%
Draw
7.8%
AC Milan
81.4%
102
Head to Head
May 8, 2022 7.45pm
Hellas Verona
1-3
AC Milan
Faraoni (38')
Faraoni (45+1'), Ilic (70')
Tonali (45+3', 50'), Florenzi (86')
Leao (45+1')
Oct 16, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
3-2
Hellas Verona
Giroud (59'), Kessie (76' pen.), Gunter (78' og.)
Ballo-Toure (81')
Caprari (7'), Barak (24' pen.)
Ceccherini (5'), Kalinic (25'), Casale (38'), Veloso (54')
Mar 7, 2021 2pm
Hellas Verona
0-2
AC Milan

Magnani (26'), Bessa (90+3')
Krunic (27'), Dalot (50')
Nov 8, 2020 7.45pm
AC Milan
2-2
Hellas Verona
Magnani (27' og.), Ibrahimovic (90+3')
Bennacer (54')
Barak (6'), Calabria (19' og.)
Ceccherini (33'), Lovato (42'), Tameze (90+1')
Feb 2, 2020 2pm
AC Milan
1-1
Hellas Verona
Calhanoglu (29')
Hernandez (45')
Faraoni (13')
Rrahmani (24'), Pessina (86'), Borini (90'), Silvestri (90')
Amrabat (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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