Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 10

Oct 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi

Hellas Verona
1 - 2
AC Milan

Gunter (19')
Magnani (67'), Hongla (68'), Faraoni (75')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Veloso (9' og.), Tonali (81')
Hernandez (81'), Rebic (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hellas Verona

All competitions

Last Game: Salernitana 2-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 0-2 Chelsea
Tuesday, October 11 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Hellas Verona 0-2 AC Milan

The last Serie A draw between Verona and Milan at the Bentegodi was in December 2000, and that run is set to remain unbroken as the champions claim victory again. Despite their absences, the Rossoneri have too much pace and guile for their hosts to handle and should score at least twice. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 64.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 16.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.85%) and 0-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 2-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result
Hellas Verona	Draw	AC Milan
16.34% ( 0.88)	19.59% ( 0.27)	64.07% ( -1.15)

Both teams to score 56.14% (

1.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.56% (

0.52)

38.44% (

-0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.27% (

0.55)

60.73% (

-0.55)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.33% (

1.42)

36.67% (

-1.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.54% (

1.4)

73.46% (

-1.4)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.65% (

-0.15)

11.36% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.94% (

-0.33)

36.06% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Hellas Verona 16.34%

AC Milan 64.07%

Draw 19.59%

Hellas Verona	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.32% Total : 16.34%	1-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.59%	1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.37) 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 7.17% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 7.15% ( -0.32) 1-4 @ 3.9% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 3.89% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 1.7% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.69% ( -0.1) Other @ 4.24% Total : 64.07%