Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 64.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 16.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.85%) and 0-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 2-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | AC Milan |
16.34% ( 0.88) | 19.59% ( 0.27) | 64.07% ( -1.15) |
Both teams to score 56.14% ( 1.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.56% ( 0.52) | 38.44% ( -0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.27% ( 0.55) | 60.73% ( -0.55) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.33% ( 1.42) | 36.67% ( -1.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.54% ( 1.4) | 73.46% ( -1.4) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.65% ( -0.15) | 11.36% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.94% ( -0.33) | 36.06% ( 0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.32% Total : 16.34% | 1-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.59% | 1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.37) 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 7.17% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 7.15% ( -0.32) 1-4 @ 3.9% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 3.89% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 1.7% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.69% ( -0.1) Other @ 4.24% Total : 64.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Lazio | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Empoli | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
15 | Genoa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 9 |
16 | Como | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
18 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
20 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |