Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Empoli1 - 3AC Milan
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bologna 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, September 17 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, September 17 at 2pm in Serie A
We said: Empoli 0-1 AC Milan
Having kept a relatively good defensive record due to a series of low-scoring draws, Empoli are no pushovers this season, for all their ongoing struggles. Therefore, injury-hit Milan may win by a single goal at the Castellani. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 63.98%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 16.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Empoli win it was 2-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | AC Milan |
16.33% ( -0) | 19.7% ( -0) | 63.98% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.74% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
