Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 63.98%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 16.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Empoli win it was 2-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | AC Milan |
16.33% ( -0) | 19.7% ( -0) | 63.98% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.74% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.05% ( 0.01) | 38.95% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.73% ( 0.01) | 61.27% ( -0.01) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63% | 37% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.22% | 73.79% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.47% ( 0) | 11.53% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.56% ( 0.01) | 36.44% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 4.56% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.24% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.11% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.63% 3-1 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.28% Total : 16.33% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.27% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.7% | 0-2 @ 9.95% 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-1 @ 9.22% ( -0) 0-3 @ 7.17% ( 0) 1-3 @ 7.13% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.87% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.85% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.54% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.91% 0-5 @ 1.67% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 4.11% Total : 63.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 21 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 19 |
4 | Fiorentina | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 19 |
5 | Lazio | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 19 |
6 | Juventus | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 |
7 | Udinese | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 16 |
8 | AC Milan | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 14 |
9 | Torino | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
10 | Roma | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Bologna | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Empoli | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Como | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 9 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
15 | Parma | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
17 | Monza | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 8 |
19 | Lecce | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Genoa | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 6 |
> Serie A Full Table |