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Serie A
Empoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Milan logo

Empoli
1 - 3
AC Milan

Bajrami (90+1')
Haas (26'), De Winter (56'), Luperto (61'), Zanetti (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rebic (79'), Ballo-Toure (90+3'), Leao (90+6')
Kjaer (24'), Bennacer (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Empoli and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions
Last Game: Bologna 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, September 17 at 2pm in Serie A

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-2 Napoli
Sunday, September 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Empoli 0-1 AC Milan

 Having kept a relatively good defensive record due to a series of low-scoring draws, Empoli are no pushovers this season, for all their ongoing struggles. Therefore, injury-hit Milan may win by a single goal at the Castellani. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 63.98%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 16.33%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Empoli win it was 2-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawAC Milan
16.33% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 19.7% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 63.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.05% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)38.95% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.73% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)61.27% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63%37% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.22%73.79%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.47% (0.0049999999999955 0)11.53% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)36.44% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 16.33%
    AC Milan 63.98%
    Draw 19.7%
EmpoliDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 4.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 4.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 2.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.63%
3-1 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 16.33%
1-1 @ 9.16% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.7%
0-2 @ 9.95%
1-2 @ 9.9%
0-1 @ 9.22% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-3 @ 7.17% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 7.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 3.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 3.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 3.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 1.91%
0-5 @ 1.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 63.98%

How you voted: Empoli vs AC Milan

Empoli
16.1%
Draw
9.5%
AC Milan
74.5%
137
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 7.45pm
AC Milan
1-0
Empoli
Kalulu (19')
Tonali (90+4')
Dec 22, 2021 7.45pm
Empoli
2-4
AC Milan
Bajrami (18'), Pinamonti (84' pen.)
Romagnoli (62')
Kessie (12', 42'), Florenzi (63'), Hernandez (69')
Tonali (39'), Bennacer (80')
Feb 22, 2019 7.30pm
AC Milan
3-0
Empoli
Piatek (49'), Kessie (51'), Castillejo (67')
Calhanoglu (71')

Di Lorenzo (55')
> Match Report
Sep 27, 2018 8pm
Empoli
1-1
AC Milan
Caputo (71' pen.)
Maietta (53'), Capezzi (55')
Capezzi (10' og.)
Calabria (45'), Laxalt (83')
Apr 23, 2017 2pm
AC Milan
1-2
Empoli
Lapadula (72')
Sosa (21'), De Sciglio (48')
Mchedlidze (40'), Baba Thiam (67')
Baba Thiam (56'), Tello (82'), El Kaddouri (89'), Bellusci (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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