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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 82.57%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for NEC had a probability of 6.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 3-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.99%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (1.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | NEC |
82.57% ( -0.12) | 11.09% ( 0.06) | 6.33% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 52.49% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.78% ( -0.09) | 25.22% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.79% ( -0.12) | 45.21% ( 0.12) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.53% ( -0.04) | 4.47% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.65% ( -0.11) | 18.35% ( 0.11) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.94% ( 0.09) | 45.05% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.02% ( 0.07) | 80.98% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | NEC |
3-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.49% ( 0) 6-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) 7-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 5.03% Total : 82.57% | 1-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 1% Total : 11.09% | 1-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 6.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |