Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 13, 2022 at 8pm UK

Philips Stadium

PSV
5 - 0
FC Zurich

Gutierrez (9'), Veerman (15', 55'), Sangare (34'), El Ghazi (84')
Ledezma (61')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Mets (2'), Marchesano (31'), Kamberi (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between PSV Eindhoven and FC Zurich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Heerenveen 0-1 PSV
Sunday, October 9 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Zurich

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: FC Zurich 0-0 Winterthur
Sunday, October 9 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-1 FC Zurich

Zurich have struggled at both ends of the pitch all-season long and it is hard to see them avoiding defeat here. PSV, on the other hand, have been fearsome in front of goal, and we fancy them to cruise to a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for FC Zurich had a probability of 22.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a FC Zurich win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	FC Zurich
53.27% ( -0.08)	23.88% ( 0.04)	22.84% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 52.93% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.91% (

-0.12)

48.09% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.74% (

-0.1)

70.25% (

0.1)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.01% (

-0.07)

17.99% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.15% (

-0.12)

48.85% (

0.13)

FC Zurich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.54% (

-0.02)

35.45% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.78% (

-0.02)

72.21% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 53.27%

FC Zurich 22.84%

Draw 23.88%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	FC Zurich
1-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.38% 3-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 53.27%	1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.88%	0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 22.84%