Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 6, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Letzigrund

FC Zurich
1 - 5
PSV

Okita (87')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Vertessen (10', 15'), Gakpo (21', 55'), Simons (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between FC Zurich and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Zurich

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Grasshopper 1-1 FC Zurich
Saturday, October 1 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Cambuur 3-0 PSV
Saturday, October 1 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: FC Zurich 1-2 PSV Eindhoven

Zurich have endured a poor start to the current campaign and PSV will be aiming to add to their hosts' woes in this one despite suffering a humiliating defeat in their most recent involvement. We fancy the away side to get the job done come the end of the 90 minutes here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
FC Zurich	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
34.29% ( 0.15)	23.67% ( -0.07)	42.03% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 62.19% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.28% (

0.4)

39.72% (

-0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.92% (

0.41)

62.07% (

-0.41)

FC Zurich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.99% (

0.27)

23% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.19% (

0.39)

56.81% (

-0.39)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.77% (

0.14)

19.23% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.07% (

0.22)

50.93% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

FC Zurich 34.29%

PSV Eindhoven 42.03%

Draw 23.67%

FC Zurich	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 34.29%	1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.67%	1-2 @ 8.84% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.86% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 42.03%