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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 33 | 79 | 82 |
2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 82.36%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for NEC had a probability of 6.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 3-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.18%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (1.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | NEC |
82.36% ( -0.52) | 11.33% ( 0.28) | 6.31% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 50.95% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.19% ( -0.4) | 26.81% ( 0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.73% ( -0.51) | 47.27% ( 0.52) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.21% ( -0.15) | 4.79% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.66% ( -0.48) | 19.34% ( 0.48) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.51% ( 0.38) | 46.49% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.9% ( 0.29) | 82.1% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | NEC |
3-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.06) 5-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.34% Total : 82.35% | 1-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.91% Total : 11.33% | 1-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.62% Total : 6.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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