MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 18:07:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
May 11, 2022 at 7pm UK
Philips Stadium
NEC

PSV
3 - 2
NEC

Doan (26'), Gutierrez (36'), Zahavi (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Duelund (66'), Okita (72' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 PSV
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: NEC 0-1 Sittard
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 4-1 NEC

PSV boast better players in every department of the field, and it is hard to envisage any other outcome than a win for them. We are tipping the hosts to cruise to a comfortable victory, scoring plenty of goals en route. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 82.36%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for NEC had a probability of 6.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 3-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.18%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (1.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawNEC
82.36% (-0.52000000000001 -0.52) 11.33% (0.28 0.28) 6.31% (0.2421 0.24)
Both teams to score 50.95% (0.278 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.19% (-0.402 -0.4)26.81% (0.405 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.73% (-0.512 -0.51)47.27% (0.515 0.52)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.21% (-0.154 -0.15)4.79% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.66% (-0.47699999999999 -0.48)19.34% (0.479 0.48)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.51% (0.38 0.38)46.49% (-0.377 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.9% (0.287 0.29)82.1% (-0.285 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 82.35%
    NEC 6.31%
    Draw 11.33%
PSV EindhovenDrawNEC
3-0 @ 10.42% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 10.28% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.99% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 7.93% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.11 0.11)
1-0 @ 6.77% (0.096 0.1)
4-1 @ 6.07% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-0 @ 4.82% (-0.144 -0.14)
5-1 @ 3.69% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.041 0.04)
6-0 @ 2.44% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-2 @ 2.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.87% (-0.056 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
7-0 @ 1.06% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 4.34%
Total : 82.35%
1-1 @ 5.18% (0.128 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.02% (0.074 0.07)
0-0 @ 2.23% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 11.33%
1-2 @ 1.99% (0.069 0.07)
0-1 @ 1.7% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 6.31%

How you voted: PSV vs NEC

PSV Eindhoven
82.6%
Draw
8.7%
NEC
8.7%
23
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2021 7pm
NEC
1-2
PSV
Mattsson (8')
Schone (68'), Proper (90+6')
Vertessen (80'), Vinicius (90')
Vinicius (90+2')
Feb 18, 2017 6.45pm
PSV
3-1
NEC
Van Ginkel (20' pen.), Ramselaar (56'), De Jong (94')
van Ginkel (22')
Messaoud (30')
Bikel (20')
Sep 10, 2016 6.45pm
NEC
0-4
PSV

Dumic (16')
Ramselaar (4'), Pereiro (10'), Brenet (20'), De Jong (24')
Feb 14, 2016 3.45pm
NEC
0-3
PSV

Ritzmaier (2'), Kane (11')
De Jong (16'), Van Ginkel (75'), Locadia (67')
Sep 26, 2015 7.45pm
PSV
2-1
NEC
De Jong (38'), Locadia (76')
Arias (63')
Santos (63' pen.)
Ritzmaier (20'), Woudenberg (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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