Eredivisie | Gameweek 15

Dec 12, 2021 at 7pm UK

Goffertstadion

NEC
1 - 2
PSV

Mattsson (8')
Schone (68'), Proper (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vertessen (80'), Vinicius (90')
Vinicius (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: NEC 1-2 PSV Eindhoven

PSV boast a significantly better squad and will back themselves to come out on top in this one, and while we expect the home side to give a good account of themselves, we fancy the away side to get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for NEC had a probability of 23.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match.

Result
NEC	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
23.83%	22.56%	53.61%

Both teams to score 58.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.77%

41.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.38%

63.62%

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.19%

30.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.91%

67.09%

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.62%

15.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.82%

44.18%

Score Analysis

NEC 23.83%

PSV Eindhoven 53.61%

Draw 22.56%

NEC	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 6.15% 1-0 @ 5.58% 2-0 @ 3.28% 3-1 @ 2.41% 3-2 @ 2.26% 3-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.86% Total : 23.83%	1-1 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 5.76% 0-0 @ 4.74% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.56%	1-2 @ 9.78% 0-1 @ 8.87% 0-2 @ 8.31% 1-3 @ 6.1% 0-3 @ 5.18% 2-3 @ 3.59% 1-4 @ 2.86% 0-4 @ 2.43% 2-4 @ 1.68% 1-5 @ 1.07% 0-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.84% Total : 53.61%