Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 56.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 21.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
