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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 58.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 20.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-2 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Twente |
58.37% | 21.59% | 20.04% |
Both teams to score 56.45% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.52% | 41.47% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.12% | 63.87% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.07% | 13.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.61% | 41.39% |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.58% | 34.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.87% | 71.12% |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 9.93% 1-0 @ 9.45% 2-0 @ 9.31% 3-1 @ 6.53% 3-0 @ 6.12% 3-2 @ 3.48% 4-1 @ 3.22% 4-0 @ 3.02% 4-2 @ 1.72% 5-1 @ 1.27% 5-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.14% Total : 58.37% | 1-1 @ 10.07% 2-2 @ 5.3% 0-0 @ 4.79% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.58% | 1-2 @ 5.38% 0-1 @ 5.11% 0-2 @ 2.73% 1-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.06% Total : 20.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
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