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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 61.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 17.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-0 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
17.37% | 21.61% | 61.02% |
Both teams to score 51.43% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.27% | 45.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.95% | 68.05% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.16% | 39.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.5% | 76.5% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.5% | 14.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.49% | 42.5% |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
1-0 @ 5.32% 2-1 @ 4.73% 2-0 @ 2.45% 3-1 @ 1.45% 3-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.03% Total : 17.37% | 1-1 @ 10.26% 0-0 @ 5.78% 2-2 @ 4.56% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.61% | 0-1 @ 11.15% 0-2 @ 10.77% 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-3 @ 6.93% 1-3 @ 6.38% 0-4 @ 3.35% 1-4 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.94% 2-4 @ 1.42% 0-5 @ 1.29% 1-5 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.61% Total : 61.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |