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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 15.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.32%) and 0-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Willem II win it was 2-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
15.2% | 18.23% | 66.56% |
Both teams to score 58.45% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.81% | 34.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.92% | 56.08% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.61% | 35.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.85% | 72.15% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.46% | 9.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.05% | 31.94% |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 4.28% 1-0 @ 3.51% 2-0 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.74% 3-1 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.38% Total : 15.2% | 1-1 @ 8.24% 2-2 @ 5.03% 0-0 @ 3.37% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.23% | 1-2 @ 9.68% 0-2 @ 9.32% 0-1 @ 7.93% 1-3 @ 7.59% 0-3 @ 7.3% 1-4 @ 4.46% 0-4 @ 4.29% 2-3 @ 3.94% 2-4 @ 2.32% 1-5 @ 2.1% 0-5 @ 2.02% 2-5 @ 1.09% Other @ 4.54% Total : 66.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
4 | FC Twente | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 11 |
5 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
7 | Groningen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
8 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
9 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Ajax | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
14 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 0 |
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