Eredivisie | Gameweek 28

Apr 3, 2021 at 7pm UK

Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
0 - 1
AZ

Llonch (37'), Saddiki (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gudmundsson (72')
Midtsjo (77')
Koopmeiners (5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Willem II and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 69.06%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 13.87%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.05%) and 1-3 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for a Willem II win it was 2-1 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
Willem II	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
13.87%	17.06%	69.06%

Both teams to score 59.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.63%

31.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.17%

52.82%

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.74%

35.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.98%

72.01%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.76%

8.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.2%

28.79%

Score Analysis

Willem II 13.87%

AZ Alkmaar 69.06%

Draw 17.06%

Willem II	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 3.94% 1-0 @ 3.03% 3-2 @ 1.71% 2-0 @ 1.58% 3-1 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.25% Total : 13.87%	1-1 @ 7.56% 2-2 @ 4.92% 0-0 @ 2.9% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.26% Total : 17.06%	1-2 @ 9.44% 0-2 @ 9.05% 1-3 @ 7.86% 0-3 @ 7.54% 0-1 @ 7.25% 1-4 @ 4.9% 0-4 @ 4.7% 2-3 @ 4.09% 2-4 @ 2.56% 1-5 @ 2.45% 0-5 @ 2.35% 2-5 @ 1.28% 1-6 @ 1.02% 0-6 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.61% Total : 69.06%